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I know of a GSD that jumped off the first story of a house to chase some other dog. He did break his leg in the process and never did it again. To answer your question, it's certainly possible that a dog may jump.

Having said that, the house you're describing seems a lot higher up that the first story one I know of. That had a fairly low ground floor roof and had no railing since it was still being built at the time. Could be that the extra height makes the jump seem less possible and thus more unlikely to be attempted?
 
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